Week 11 in the MVFC (and other games of interest)

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Week 11 in the MVFC (and other games of interest)

Post by ST_Lawson » Fri Nov 10, 2017 9:41 am

The weekly preview article: http://thefcswedge.com/mvfc/mvfc-week-11-preview-2/

MVFC Games
12:00 PM – #13 Western Illinois (6-3, 3-3 MVFC) at Indiana State (0-9, 0-6 MVFC)
1:00 PM – Youngstown State (4-5, 2-4 MVFC) at Southern Illinois (4-5, 2-4 MVFC)
2:00 PM – #21 Illinois State (6-3, 4-2 MVFC) at #5 South Dakota State (7-2, 4-2 MVFC)
2:00 PM – #19 Northern Iowa (5-4, 4-2 MVFC) at Missouri State (3-6, 2-4 MVFC)
2:30 PM – #10 South Dakota (7-2, 4-2 MVFC) at #4 North Dakota State (8-1, 5-1 MVFC)

Our OOC Opponents
1:00 PM - Tennessee Tech (1-8, 1-5 OVC) at Murray State (2-7, 1-4 OVC), OVC Digital Network
1:30 PM - Coastal Carolina (1-8, 0-5 Sun Belt) vs Troy (7-2, 4-1 Sun Belt), ESPN3
6:00 PM - #16 Northern Arizona (6-3, 5-1 Big Sky) vs Montana State (4-5, 4-2 Big Sky), PlutoTV

Games of Regional Interest
11:00 AM - Indiana (3-6, 0-6 BT) at Illinois (2-7, 0-6 BT), BTN
2:30 PM - #20 Iowa (6-3, 3-3 BT) at #8 Wisconsin (9-0, 6-0 BT), ABC
6:00 PM - Purdue (4-5, 2-4 BT) at #25 Northwestern (6-3, 4-2 BT), ESPN2

Also, Northern Illinois beat Ball State on Thursday (11/9) night, 63-17

Other FCS Matchups to follow
12:30 PM - #8 Wofford at VMI, ESPN3
1:00 PM - #7 Elon at #27 New Hampshire
2:00 PM - #6 Sam Houston State at Abeline Christian, ESPN3
2:00 PM - #2 Jacksonville State at UT Martin, ESPN3
2:30 PM - #30 Richmond at #1 James Madison
4:00 PM - #12 Weber State at Portland State, PlutoTV
6:00 PM - #3 Central Arkansas at Incarnate Word
6:00 PM - #9 Southern Utah at UC Davis, PlutoTV
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Re: Week 11 in the MVFC (and other games of interest)

Post by sealhall74 » Fri Nov 10, 2017 8:00 pm

Eagles are off this weekend. Ginger Jesus (aka Carson Wentz) makes a second coming guest appearance in the Fargodome tomorrow. Add about 10 points to the Bison total and subtract about 7 from the Yotes.

Carson approaching 2000 PAGES of posts on Bisonville. Biblical numbers.
Rock's bronze rock will rock us on forever.

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Re: Week 11 in the MVFC (and other games of interest)

Post by ST_Lawson » Fri Nov 10, 2017 8:51 pm

sealhall74 wrote:
Fri Nov 10, 2017 8:00 pm
Eagles are off this weekend. Ginger Jesus (aka Carson Wentz) makes a second coming guest appearance in the Fargodome tomorrow. Add about 10 points to the Bison total and subtract about 7 from the Yotes.

Carson approaching 2000 PAGES of posts on Bisonville. Biblical numbers.
And he's bringing the family of the "Dutch Destroyer" (

I just think NDSU is going to crush USD in this situation.
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Re: Week 11 in the MVFC (and other games of interest)

Post by ST_Lawson » Sat Nov 11, 2017 1:57 pm

Score update to relevant teams to our playoff situation:

Wofford - 21
VMI - 7
halftime
VMI is a team that Indiana State would crush.

Elon - 0
New Hampshire - 0
Start of the 2nd quarter
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Re: Week 11 in the MVFC (and other games of interest)

Post by ST_Lawson » Sat Nov 11, 2017 4:10 pm

Update on teams we're keeping an eye on (the ones listed first are the ones we want to lose if we want to move up in the rankings a bit):
#12 Weber State at Portland State, just kicked off
#11 Stony Brook beat Wagner, 38-10
#10 South Dakota losing to #4 North Dakota State, 28-14 at halftime
#9 Southern Utah at UC Davis, game starts at 6 PM
#8 Wofford beats VMI, 45-14
#7 Elon loses to #27 New Hampshire, 16-6
#6 Sam Houston State beating Abilene Christian, 31-7 early in the 3rd
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Re: Week 11 in the MVFC (and other games of interest)

Post by ST_Lawson » Sat Nov 11, 2017 7:10 pm

#12 Weber State beating Portland State, 63-17 with just over 7 minutes left in the game
#11 Stony Brook beat Wagner, 38-10
#10 South Dakota lost to #4 North Dakota State, 49-14
#9 Southern Utah beating UC Davis, 21-0 about halfway through the 2nd quarter
#8 Wofford beats VMI, 45-14
#7 Elon loses to #27 New Hampshire, 16-6
#6 Sam Houston State beats Abilene Christian, 44-35

That SHSU score is interesting, ACU was up by 4 with under 5 minutes left, before putting up a couple more scores near the end to win. They also barely beat a bad (3-6) Northwestern State team. So...yea...they've only lost 1 game, but they've had a really low strength of schedule, and they're struggling against some pretty mediocre teams (ACU is 2-8 now).

It looks like two teams will drop, we'll move up, probably be around #10 or #11 in next week's AGS poll. So, a few more losses from teams ahead of us and a dominating performance against SIU and we'll be right about where we need to be.
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Re: Week 11 in the MVFC (and other games of interest)

Post by wiu712 » Sat Nov 11, 2017 9:44 pm

Youngstown State beat Southern Illinois 28-20. Attendance at SIU = 3,147.

South Dakota State beat Illinois State 27-24 in overtime. Attendance at South Dakota State = 9,458.

Northern Iowa beat Missouri State 25-10. Attendance at Missouri State = 6,157.

North Dakota State beat South Dakota 49-14. Attendance at North Dakota State = 18,623.

Current MVFC Standings:
North Dakota State 6-1
Northern Iowa 5-2
South Dakota State 5-2
WESTERN 4-3
South Dakota 4-3
Illinois State 4-3
Youngstown State 3-4
Missouri State 2-5
Southern Illinois 2-5
Indiana State 0-7

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Re: Week 11 in the MVFC (and other games of interest)

Post by meganeck » Sun Nov 12, 2017 6:18 pm

I was surprised ISU took SDSU to OT.

Quite the beat down by North Dakota St

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Re: Week 11 in the MVFC (and other games of interest)

Post by ST_Lawson » Sun Nov 12, 2017 7:31 pm

meganeck wrote:
Sun Nov 12, 2017 6:18 pm
I was surprised ISU took SDSU to OT.

Quite the beat down by North Dakota St
I'm not that surprised actually. ISU is a good team and we just played phenomenally well against them (I think the second half was probably our best played half in the season). It's one of those situations where we just don't match up well with a team like SDSU (a good passing team), but we do matchup well with ISU (a strong running team). Our run defense is a lot better.

SDSU and ISU both have good pass defenses and somewhat weak run defenses.

So, the team that gets the advantage from that is the one that has the stronger running game...ISU. Overall, SDSU is a better team that ISU and it was up in Brookings.

My "mental math" estimation goes kinda like this:
SDSU is about a 7-10 point better team overall than ISU on a neutral field...that's just from the "eyeball test" seeing them both play in person and vs other teams, and knowing their general rankings.
ISU gets +7 for having the matchup advantage of a strong run game against SDSU's weaker run defense.
SDSU's offensive strength (pass) going against ISU's defensive strength (pass) cancels out...0 points either way for that.
That puts the game at about a 3 point SDSU advantage...on a neutral field. Home field gets you either 3 more or winning in OT.
Hence my pick in my article of SDSU winning by a TD. They didn't...they went to OT and won on a FG.

Maybe I should have given ISU a few points for having their backs against the wall and needing a win to get into the playoffs ;)
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