Leatherneck177 wrote:I believe the only thing that mattered is that Liberty lost last night, making them 6-5. This solidified the fact that the Big South will be a one bid league. Not possible for committee to take a Chuck South team that lost to Kennesaw State as they will also have five losses and Kennesaw State is not even close to having a viable at-large candidacy. So the Liberty loss helps as there will only be one team coming out of the Big South.
Scott, your thoughts?
Honestly, I'm not too worried about what else is going on this weekend around the FCS outside of our game, SDSU at UNI, and the Sam Houston State vs Central Arkansas game (that's a big one for possible seeding). Really, I think we're at the point where the bubble is soft enough that we win and we're in. In a 24-team field, a 7-4 team from the toughest conference in the FCS, with a 3-0 OOC record against all full-scholarship DI teams (and an FBS) and losses against only teams in the top half of the conference...that should be in fairly easily. I'm not entirely sure if UNI beating SDSU would help us or hurt us, though. UNI winning might get them into the playoffs, which would mean that all of our losses would be to teams with winning records and all but one (IL State) would be to teams in the playoffs....and of those losses, only the SDSU one wasn't a close one. We were within a score on all of the rest. Then again, if the committee decides that they only want one of the "bubble" MVFC teams, they might be inclined to take a 6-5 UNI who had a B12 win, close losses to really good teams, one of the toughest records in the FCS, and a head-to-head win rather than us.
I think that if both UNI and WIU win, we're probably in, but I'd be kinda sweating it on Sunday morning.
If WIU wins and UNI loses, we should be in pretty solidly.
If UNI wins and WIU loses, we're out and UNI is in.
If UNI and WIU both lose, WIU and UNI are both out, but the committee might consider 6-5 Illinois State, with a B10 win, and victories over playoff team SDSU as well as us.
Mostly though...we just gotta win.
Then again, I was convinced that 6-5 wouldn't get us in the playoffs last year since a 6-5 had never made the playoffs as an at-large before, and there were a couple of 7-win teams that I thought would get solid consideration before we did....so what do I know