LeatherCy wrote: Thu Sep 06, 2018 11:07 pm
WGEM story says trending downward for 10 years. When did Jackie get the job handed to him??? Direct corelation. Eastern was ready for last rites two years ago now they have had two years of increased enrollment while we continue to plummet!
I've been tracking enrollment numbers for all the state schools for a while (and going back as far as I was able to find data for. Spreadsheet should show up at the bottom of this post, but I wanted to mention a few things about it.
Pretty much, what you'll find is that the directional schools (other than SIU-E) plus Chicago State have all been steadily decreasing for the last 8-10 years. Overall, since 2007, enrollment at all state universities combined has decreased ~0.84% every year, with 2% or higher decreases the last two years (not including this year yet, I don't have everyone's numbers)....which coincides with the budget stalemate. Even SIU-E, which had more years increasing than decreasing and was at one point up to 14.2k students saw drops the last three years totaling about 1k students (they're still bigger than SIU-C now though, because SIU-C has been dropping like a rock the last 6-7 years).
The last year that Western saw an increase was 2006, so yes, we have been decreasing for over 10 years. Part of that is the general trend of students choosing "flagship" schools over "directional" schools, but also because of the economy, people are more likely to pursue options that are either closer to home or cheaper (like a community college) for a couple of years before transferring to a 4-year school (or just deciding a 2-year associates is enough for what they want to do). Dr. Thomas has been president since 2011, so the decrease did start well before he took over, although I don't feel like he has done a great job "weathering the storm", especially in the last few years. I know that presidents Spencer and Goldfarb were aware of many of the problems that were coming (the ones that are able to be forecasted...smaller class sizes, some state financial problems), and did quite a bit to save money wherever possible in preparation for it. Honestly, I think one of the biggest problems with the current administration has been lack of transparency. It doesn't feel like they discuss options with the various stakeholders...a decision is made and it's just pushed through, regardless of other options that might be available.
Eastern still dropped last year (this year was the first actual increase for them), but their freshman class last year was larger than the previous year's freshman class and they did show an overall increase in the spring.
I included the numbers for the U of I system, but flagship universities are a different animal entirely (and have a much higher "profile"). They have much less funding (percentage-wise) that they get from the state, and much more from grants, research, donations, and their endowment. Hence, they are much more stable and more easily able to weather a multi-year budget crisis. UIC has their new law school and is located in a large urban environment. UIS is more similar to a school like WIU or EIU in terms of being smaller and more rural, and they've been up and down over the years.
So, was the decrease the fault of President Thomas?...no. I don't think he's done much to help our situation though, and has, in the process, created negative press for the university which has not helped us begin to rebound like some universities are starting to do (this is similar to SIU-C's situation).