Tere North wrote: Tue Jul 11, 2017 11:26 am
I'm wondering when HS will start to stop offering football. With the concussion liability combined with the lack of funding and expense of offering football I wouldn't be surprised to start seeing a non-football trend beginning fairly soon.
I think it's already been trending that way for a few years...much fewer people putting their kids into football and going out for other sports instead. I remember reading something a year or so ago about a lot of smaller high schools having trouble having enough players to field a team. Obviously not so much of a problem at the larger schools or in Texas...at least not yet anyway. You are seeing a lot of the youth football leagues (like, spring and summer leagues for high schoolers to keep them in shape and stuff) moving away from tackle football, towards either flag football, or variations on the rules that don't involve anywhere near as much hard contact.
I think you'll gradually see a progression of the really good athletes towards sports like baseball, basketball, even soccer (although there's a decent amount of contact with that too). Also, more of the really fast guys going towards track. Really, you're probably already seeing it in terms of guys who are good enough to play multiple sports. I mean, you had guys like
Jeff Samardzija,
Matt Szczur, or more recently
Aaron Judge who could probably have ended up playing in the NFL, but chose to go into baseball. Judge, in particular (if you aren't aware) is currently a right fielder for the Yankees, is probably the best home run hitter in the MLB in...well....in a VERY long time, and he's HUGE for a baseball player. Judge is listed at 6' 7" tall and 282 lbs....
the dude is HUGE. From his wikipedia page:
Judge attended Linden High School, where he was a three-sport star. He played as a pitcher (9-3, 0.65 ERA, 65K) and first baseman (.500 AVG, 7 HR, 32 RBI) for the baseball team, a wide receiver (54 REC, 969 YDS, 17 TD) for the football team, and an "all-state" center (18.2 PTS, 12.8 REBS) for the basketball team.
He was recruited by schools like Notre Dame, Stanford, and UCLA to play Tight End (and honestly probably could have played DI basketball if he wanted to do that as well), but chose to go the baseball route.
So, I think it's already happening, and I could see, a ways down the road, all levels of football having to go a "safer" route, such as that above listed "flag football" version, just to keep the league alive and popular.
sealhall74 wrote: Tue Jul 11, 2017 12:49 pm
What do high schools and colleges typically pay for football team liability insurance?
Here's some info about that, although this is targeted more at "youth football"...so it could be higher for college or whatever.
https://www.sadlersports.com/football/
I'd imagine that the more that research comes out about the dangers of tackle football, the higher the insurance rates will be, and it could really start to price a lot of groups out of the game (or that specific version of it).
As much as I love football in it's current incarnation (and have fond memories of watching some pretty "hard-nosed" football with Western and with the Bears), you can't deny the physical toll it's taking on the players, and as more of them choose to play other sports, retire early, or at the very least, become more aware of the situation, football as we know it is going to have to change.