2022 FCS Playoffs

[wiu712]

#1 South Dakota State beat #8 Holy Cross 42-21. The game was tied 21-21 going into the 4th quarter.

Attendance at South Dakota State = 6,549
 

[ST_Lawson]

Attendance at Montana State = 14,367

The #7 Incarnate Word vs #2 Sacramento State is the highest-scoring game in FCS Playoff history.  Attendance at Sacramento State = 13,722

 

Watched the first quarter of it, but had to go to bed. Turns out a basketball game broke out while I was asleep. You'd figure if you put up 63 points in a football game, you're likely to win, but apparently both of those teams are asking Santa for a defense this year.

Down to the semifinals next weekend, both on ESPN2
Friday, December 16th at 6 PM - #7 Incarnate Word at #3 North Dakota State
Saturday, December 17th at 3 PM - #4 Montana State at #1 South Dakota State

[meganeck]

Attendance at Montana State = 14,367

The #7 Incarnate Word vs #2 Sacramento State is the highest-scoring game in FCS Playoff history.  Attendance at Sacramento State = 13,722


 

Watched the first quarter of it, but had to go to bed. Turns out a basketball game broke out while I was asleep. You'd figure if you put up 63 points in a football game, you're likely to win, but apparently both of those teams are asking Santa for a defense this year.

Down to the semifinals next weekend, both on ESPN2
Friday, December 16th at 6 PM - #7 Incarnate Word at #3 North Dakota State
Saturday, December 17th at 3 PM - #4 Montana State at #1 South Dakota State

 

What are you thinking Scott, is it going to be a MVFC final?

[ST_Lawson]

Watched the first quarter of it, but had to go to bed. Turns out a basketball game broke out while I was asleep. You'd figure if you put up 63 points in a football game, you're likely to win, but apparently both of those teams are asking Santa for a defense this year.

Down to the semifinals next weekend, both on ESPN2
Friday, December 16th at 6 PM - #7 Incarnate Word at #3 North Dakota State
Saturday, December 17th at 3 PM - #4 Montana State at #1 South Dakota State
 

What are you thinking Scott, is it going to be a MVFC final?
 

If I had to put money on one of the four possible finals matchups, I'd say it would be a "Dakota Marker Game" championship, since both Dakota State's are favored in their games next weekend. That being said, neither are favored by double-digits (per Massey this morning), so they both could go either way.

Looks like the odds for each matchup are the following:
NDSU vs SDSU = 41.4%
NDSU vs MT State = 27.6%
SDSU vs UIW = 18.6%
MT State vs UIW = 12.4%

Sagarin leans a little more towards SDSU winning their game than Massey does, putting the odds of an XDSU championship at ~46.2%.
Because Sac State dropped their game, NDSU also gets their semifinal game at home, which works in the Bison's favor quite a bit.

I'd have to say yeah, a MVFC final is likely.

[meganeck]

Watched the first quarter of it, but had to go to bed. Turns out a basketball game broke out while I was asleep. You'd figure if you put up 63 points in a football game, you're likely to win, but apparently both of those teams are asking Santa for a defense this year.

Down to the semifinals next weekend, both on ESPN2
Friday, December 16th at 6 PM - #7 Incarnate Word at #3 North Dakota State
Saturday, December 17th at 3 PM - #4 Montana State at #1 South Dakota State

 

What are you thinking Scott, is it going to be a MVFC final?

 

If I had to put money on one of the four possible finals matchups, I'd say it would be a "Dakota Marker Game" championship, since both Dakota State's are favored in their games next weekend. That being said, neither are favored by double-digits (per Massey this morning), so they both could go either way.

Looks like the odds for each matchup are the following:
NDSU vs SDSU = 41.4%
NDSU vs MT State = 27.6%
SDSU vs UIW = 18.6%
MT State vs UIW = 12.4%

Sagarin leans a little more towards SDSU winning their game than Massey does, putting the odds of an XDSU championship at ~46.2%.
Because Sac State dropped their game, NDSU also gets their semifinal game at home, which works in the Bison's favor quite a bit.

I'd have to say yeah, a MVFC final is likely.

 

Yeah, i think being at home will be a big advantage.

[ST_Lawson]

Yeah, i think being at home will be a big advantage.
 

Because I was curious, I re-ran the Massey numbers based on if the games were played at the other team's stadium...so NDSU at UIW and SDSU at MT State.

The SDSU at MT State game because essentially a "coin-flip" at 51%/49% odds and the chances of any particular championship game matchup ends up being...

NDSU vs SDSU = 32.1%
NDSU vs MSU = 30.7%
SDSU vs UIW = 18.9%
MSU vs UIW = 18.1%

So, still slightly better chance of NDSU vs SDSU than anything else, but much tighter odds.

[ST_Lawson]

[wiu712]

FCS Semi-final game:

#3 North Dakota State beat #7 Incarnate Word 35-32.  Attendance at North Dakota State = 12,569
 

[wiu712]

t will be very cold and windy for today's big game at South Dakota State.

High will be 10.

Gusty winds 20-30 mph from the northwest.

Flurries or snow showers during the game.

3:00 PM today on ESPN 2: Montana State at South Dakota State. The winner of this game will be playing North Dakota State in the championship game on January 8.
 

[wiu712]

FCS Championship Playoffs - Semi-final game:

#1 South Dakota State beat #4 Montana State 39-18.

Attendance at South Dakota State = 7,195