Fall 2021 - Week 4 - at Youngstown State
Posted: Mon Sep 20, 2021 10:48 am
AT
Date/Time: Saturday, September 25 at 5 PM (Central)
Location: Stambaugh Stadium "The Ice Castle", Youngstown, OH
Weather Forecast at Kickoff (as of 9/23): 62 and 19% chance of precipitation, 8 mph wind
WIU Radio: Mixlr, Q98.1 (Cuba, IL)
YSU Radio: NewsRadio 570 WKBN
TV/Video Stream: ESPN3, ESPN+
Live Stats: https://www.ysusports.com/sports/fball/ ... 5_gg7m.xml
Game Notes: Western Illinois, Youngstown State
Yes...0-3 in non-conference matchups is not how we wanted to start the season. To be fair, 2 of those games were against Top 10-ranked FCS teams and the other was against a pretty good G5 FBS team, so even most above-average FCS teams would have probably ended up with the same record. Still, not a great start to the season, but now we're on to conference games. Up first is the Youngstown State Penguins.
YSU is currently 1-1 on their season, having pulled out an OT win over Incarnate Word (who beat FBS Texas State last Saturday), then lost their FBS game against Michigan State (42-14), before taking an early bye last weekend. Obviously, with a limited range of data like that, it's a little hard to deduce much from the stats, but overall they are a much more heavily run-oriented team. In their matchup with UIW, they put up 351 yards and 4 TDs on the ground, with only 112 yards and 1 TD through the air. Their R-Freshman QB, Deameatric Crenshaw has a completion rate of 54.3% with 193 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT through their 2 games. He also has run for 75 yards per game and 3 TDs himself, so he's going to be a running threat. Their top rusher is Senior TB Jaleel McLaughlin, who has run for 138 ypg with 2 rushing TDs, as well as catching 3 passes for 76 yards (38 ypg, which leads the team currently). Overall the team has not lost any fumbles and has only had 1 pass intercepted so far, so they're pretty good at holding onto the ball when they have it.
On the defensive side of things, they're led by Sophomore DB Jordan White, with 16 total tackles, 2 breakups, and 2 passes defended. Sophomore DB Augstin D'Marco gets in on the action with 15 tackles (1 for loss) and 1 forced fumble. Closer to the line, Senior LB Grant Dixon has picked up 13 tackles including 1/2 for loss, and has 1 breakup and 1 pass defended. Overall, their current defensive rankings statistically aren't all that great, but again, they've only played two games and against a wide range of competition. Against Incarnate Word, they gave up 138 yards and 2 TDs rushing and 352 yards and 4 TDs passing, so it seems like they're weaker against the pass (UIW is a much stronger passing team than they are a running team, so take that with a grain of salt).
Here's the current full ranking summary in the FCS for Youngstown State.
I think we all know at this point what the strengths are of our Leatherneck team, heavily into to the passing game and...um...our punting is pretty good. If you want to check out the full stat rankings for us, that's available here. Youngstown State is favored by a little bit in this game, but I think this will be one of our better opportunities for a win this season (this and the two ISUs). We're going to have to work to limit their run game as much as possible, but that won't be easy considering we've given up 223 ypg on the ground this season. I think that this will be a high scoring game...not at the level of our game last weekend though, because YSU is going to get a lot of their yardage on the ground and are less likely to be throwing down 70+ yard TD passes. If we are able to slow them down more than we slowed down Eastern Washington, I think we could see something resembling a 42-38 Leatherneck victory.
Other Predictions
Massey Ratings gives us a 34% chance of victory, with a predicted score of 31-24.
Sagarin Ratings lists us as the 179th best DI team, with Youngstown State at 152. An 18% chance of victory with a spread of 13.85.
Date/Time: Saturday, September 25 at 5 PM (Central)
Location: Stambaugh Stadium "The Ice Castle", Youngstown, OH
Weather Forecast at Kickoff (as of 9/23): 62 and 19% chance of precipitation, 8 mph wind
WIU Radio: Mixlr, Q98.1 (Cuba, IL)
YSU Radio: NewsRadio 570 WKBN
TV/Video Stream: ESPN3, ESPN+
Live Stats: https://www.ysusports.com/sports/fball/ ... 5_gg7m.xml
Game Notes: Western Illinois, Youngstown State
Yes...0-3 in non-conference matchups is not how we wanted to start the season. To be fair, 2 of those games were against Top 10-ranked FCS teams and the other was against a pretty good G5 FBS team, so even most above-average FCS teams would have probably ended up with the same record. Still, not a great start to the season, but now we're on to conference games. Up first is the Youngstown State Penguins.
YSU is currently 1-1 on their season, having pulled out an OT win over Incarnate Word (who beat FBS Texas State last Saturday), then lost their FBS game against Michigan State (42-14), before taking an early bye last weekend. Obviously, with a limited range of data like that, it's a little hard to deduce much from the stats, but overall they are a much more heavily run-oriented team. In their matchup with UIW, they put up 351 yards and 4 TDs on the ground, with only 112 yards and 1 TD through the air. Their R-Freshman QB, Deameatric Crenshaw has a completion rate of 54.3% with 193 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT through their 2 games. He also has run for 75 yards per game and 3 TDs himself, so he's going to be a running threat. Their top rusher is Senior TB Jaleel McLaughlin, who has run for 138 ypg with 2 rushing TDs, as well as catching 3 passes for 76 yards (38 ypg, which leads the team currently). Overall the team has not lost any fumbles and has only had 1 pass intercepted so far, so they're pretty good at holding onto the ball when they have it.
On the defensive side of things, they're led by Sophomore DB Jordan White, with 16 total tackles, 2 breakups, and 2 passes defended. Sophomore DB Augstin D'Marco gets in on the action with 15 tackles (1 for loss) and 1 forced fumble. Closer to the line, Senior LB Grant Dixon has picked up 13 tackles including 1/2 for loss, and has 1 breakup and 1 pass defended. Overall, their current defensive rankings statistically aren't all that great, but again, they've only played two games and against a wide range of competition. Against Incarnate Word, they gave up 138 yards and 2 TDs rushing and 352 yards and 4 TDs passing, so it seems like they're weaker against the pass (UIW is a much stronger passing team than they are a running team, so take that with a grain of salt).
Here's the current full ranking summary in the FCS for Youngstown State.
I think we all know at this point what the strengths are of our Leatherneck team, heavily into to the passing game and...um...our punting is pretty good. If you want to check out the full stat rankings for us, that's available here. Youngstown State is favored by a little bit in this game, but I think this will be one of our better opportunities for a win this season (this and the two ISUs). We're going to have to work to limit their run game as much as possible, but that won't be easy considering we've given up 223 ypg on the ground this season. I think that this will be a high scoring game...not at the level of our game last weekend though, because YSU is going to get a lot of their yardage on the ground and are less likely to be throwing down 70+ yard TD passes. If we are able to slow them down more than we slowed down Eastern Washington, I think we could see something resembling a 42-38 Leatherneck victory.
Other Predictions
Massey Ratings gives us a 34% chance of victory, with a predicted score of 31-24.
Sagarin Ratings lists us as the 179th best DI team, with Youngstown State at 152. An 18% chance of victory with a spread of 13.85.