

Game Time: 3:00PM Central, 9/30/2017
Location: Home...finally. Hanson Field, Macomb, IL[/url]
Weather:

TV: ESPN3/WatchESPN.com
Radio: Announcers (Scott Kornberg, Dr. Tom Cody) - Beardstown - WRMS (94.3 FM); Macomb - WJEQ (102.7 FM); Galesburg - WAIK (1590 AM); Quincy - WPWQ (106.7 FM); Clinton, Iowa - (KCLN 1390 AM)
Internet: wrmsfm.com or Tune-In Radio App (Google store and iTunes)
Live Stats: Should be here, link not active currently.
Game Notes: Western Illinois | South Dakota
A bit about South Dakota
The Coyotes are also 3-0 on the season, having blown out (Non-Scholarship) Drake, 77-7, in their first game, rolling over (FBS, MAC) Bowling Green, 35-27 the next week, and then crushing then-highly-ranked rival North Dakota 45-7 the third week. They had last weekend off (along with half of the conference).
They average 52.3 ppg (kinda skewed by that Drake score, though) and give up 13.7 ppg. Their average yardage overall is 561.3, with 270.3 of that on the ground and 291 through the air. Defensively they are stronger against the run (85.3 ypg) than against the pass (205.3 ypg). They don't turn the ball over very much and they are able to get sacks on QBs fairly often, but they have also given up quite a few sacks as well to opposing defenses.
Full USD Stats for 2017.
Also, in case you've been living under a rock for the last few years, 8 members of USD's coaching staff were members of our coaching staff two years ago. In addition, their Run Game/O-Line coach, Bill O'Boyle played for us for two years in the '80s and then coached O-Line here from '90-'94. So, there's a lot of familiarity there.
USD Players to Watch:
- QB Chris Streveler - 280 ypg passing, 76.3 ypg rushing, 7 TDs thrown (0 INTs), 6 TDs run for.
- RBs Michael Fredrick and Kai Henry have 2 and 3 TDs respectively and each have run for ~57 yards per game.
- WRs Shamar Jackson and Kody Case each have 2 TDs and 50+ ypg receiving.
- DB Phillip Powell leads the team in interceptions with 2 including 1 returned for TD. He also has 12 tackles on the season.
- DB Danny Rambo leads the team with 17 tackles, 2 for loss.
- DL Darin Greenfield has the most tackles for loss (8.5) and sacks (3) to go along with 16 tackles.
Western has played South Dakota 7 times. We have a 5-2 advantage in the series, although since we've started playing them every year (2012), we are 5-0. The two losses were in 1976 and 1977. Last year's meeting was a 35-34 come-from-behind win at the DakotaDome.
Predictions
Massey - 35-32, WIU Victory
Compughterratings.com - 35-30, WIU win
5Dimes Odds - WIU -3, USD +3 (means we're favored by 3 points), O/U 66.5 (so, scores in the 30-35 range most likely)
Sagarin (calculation, doesn't round) - 35.03 to 33.58, WIU win
In general, we have a slight (3-5 pt) advantage, which is generally what they usually give for home field advantage. Essentially, we're pretty darn even, but it's at our place, so we've got that going for us, which is nice.
Rankings
Sagarin (out of all 254 DI teams) - WIU 84, USD 85
STATS Top 25 - WIU 13, UDS 10
Massey Composite - WIU 6, USD 5
AGS Poll - WIU 9, USD 7
My Take
I think it all comes down to how well we can stop Chris Streveler. I'm not too intimidated by their defense considering how well we've done so far, but if our defense has any weakness in this game, Streveler will find it and exploit it. He leads the team in passing yards, rushing yards, passing TDs, and rushing TDs. The good news is that we've gone against passing offenses (NAU) and running/option offenses (CCU) and, while sometimes it's taken a little while, the experience we have on defense has allowed our players to figure things out and lock down opposing teams pretty well. This will be a different style of offense, with a dual-threat QB, but I'm confident that we can figure out how to shut him down. There will also be the added motivation of being at home, at homecoming. The guys will have to work to keep their excitement in check though, so they don't do "too much" and blow past assignments or get sucked into giving Streveler too much space to run.
Prediction:
I think we probably get a decent number of points, but USD stays a lot closer than any of the other teams we've played this year. Like last year, a close finish, but Western comes away with another win. This time...38-31.